Areté vs Escola Esportiva Guineueta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Areté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TRI
3 - 2
ART
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AYO
1 - 2
ART
46%
22%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ART
1 - 3
GRA
43%
20%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 4
ART
74%
13%
13%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ART
4 - 2
SIN
15%
16%
69%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Escola Esportiva Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
EEG
1 - 6
BBV
19%
18%
63%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
YTB
5 - 0
EEG
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EEG
3 - 1
SIS
32%
19%
49%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
11 - 1
EEG
83%
10%
7%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
EEG
0 - 9
MON
30%
20%
50%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |