Ards FC vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 2
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
QUB
1 - 2
ARD
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
ARD
3 - 1
DER
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARD
1 - 1
POR
30%
25%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 5
ARD
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
LOU
3 - 1
HAR
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
NEW
0 - 3
LOU
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
2 - 1
DER
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
BAL
1 - 1
LOU
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
QUB
2 - 5
LOU
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |