Ards FC vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARD
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LOU
2 - 3
ARD
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
ARD
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 1
ARD
25%
23%
53%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 1
AUN
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
INS
2 - 3
LOU
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
INS
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DER
3 - 1
INS
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
INS
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
INS
0 - 1
POR
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |