Ards FC vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 0
ARD
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 1
ARD
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 0
GLE
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 1
CRU
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
DUN
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
LIN
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
COL
2 - 0
CAR
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
POR
4 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |