NIFL Premiership Temporada Regular. Jor. 3

Ards FC vs Ballymena United analysis

Ards FC Ballymena United
50 ELO 60
17.3% Tilt 14.8%
4074º General ELO ranking 2873º
25º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
30.2%
Ards FC
25.2%
Draw
44.6%
Ballymena United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
Ards FC
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.6%
Win probability
Ballymena United
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ards FC
-32%
-21%
Ballymena United

ELO progression

Ards FC
Ballymena United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2018
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 2
Glentoran
GLE
40%
25%
35%
52 57 5 0
06 Aug. 2018
CRU
Crusaders
4 - 2
Ards FC
ARD
73%
17%
10%
52 68 16 0
25 Jul. 2018
ARD
Ards FC
1 - 0
Portadown
POR
49%
23%
28%
52 53 1 0
10 Jul. 2018
KNO
Knockbreda
2 - 2
Ards FC
ARD
30%
23%
47%
52 45 7 0
05 Jul. 2018
BAN
Bangor
1 - 4
Ards FC
ARD
25%
22%
54%
52 37 15 0

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2018
CRU
Crusaders
2 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
65%
20%
15%
59 68 9 0
04 Aug. 2018
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
0 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
50%
24%
26%
58 59 1 +1
28 Jul. 2018
LIM
Limavady
1 - 1
Ballymena United
BAL
18%
21%
61%
58 43 15 0
24 Jul. 2018
BAL
Ballyclare Comrades
0 - 4
Ballymena United
BAL
24%
22%
54%
58 47 11 0
17 Jul. 2018
KNO
Knockbreda
0 - 3
Ballymena United
BAL
22%
22%
57%
58 46 12 0
X