Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 1
ARD
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIM
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 3
ARD
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARD
5 - 1
WAR
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
GLE
0 - 3
ARD
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIM
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
LIM
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TOB
1 - 2
BAL
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 0
HAR
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |