Ards FC vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
ARD
37%
26%
38%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
ARD
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
INS
2 - 1
ARD
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
ARD
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
ARD
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 2
LIS
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 3
LAR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 2
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
2 - 3
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |