Arconatese vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
BUS
49%
23%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 2
ARC
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 0
ASD
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
ARC
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
INV
2 - 5
CAR
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 3
CHI
38%
26%
37%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 3
CAR
21%
27%
52%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
GOZ
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
INV
0 - 0
CAR
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |