ARC Alphense vs Spijkenisse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
8º
5º
29
3º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 0
ARC
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ARC
4 - 2
SCF
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 3
CAP
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KLO
3 - 2
ARC
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
2 - 1
WNC
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Spijkenisse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SPI
1 - 2
POO
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DED
1 - 8
SPI
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ODI
2 - 1
SPI
69%
18%
14%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPI
4 - 0
NIE
54%
20%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ZWA
2 - 0
SPI
35%
23%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |