ARC Alphense vs AFC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HUI
0 - 0
ARC
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ARC
1 - 2
DHS
55%
20%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
AAL
2 - 4
ARC
16%
18%
67%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
ARC
4 - 2
HCF
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ZUI
0 - 3
ARC
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AFC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 0
AAL
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
AFC
4 - 1
HED
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ARG
1 - 2
AFC
45%
22%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ROD
3 - 2
AFC
41%
22%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 3
BRE
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |