Arbroath vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BLA
3 - 0
ARB
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ARB
4 - 1
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 2
QUE
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 0
CLY
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CLY
0 - 3
ARB
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ELG
3 - 2
BER
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 1
CLY
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
THE
2 - 1
ELG
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 1
CLY
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 0
ELG
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |