AFC Cup Group B Round 3

Erbil vs Fanja analysis

Erbil Fanja
72 ELO 41
11.8% Tilt 1.4%
1574º General ELO ranking 23332º
15º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
89.9%
Erbil
7.7%
Draw
2.4%
Fanja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.9%
Win probability
Erbil
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.4%
Win probability
Fanja
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Erbil
-24%
-11%
Fanja

ELO progression

Erbil
Fanja
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Erbil
Erbil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2013
ALM
Al-Masafi
1 - 1
Erbil
ARB
25%
26%
49%
72 60 12 0
25 Mar. 2013
ARB
Erbil
1 - 1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
ALQ
65%
21%
14%
72 67 5 0
18 Mar. 2013
ZAK
Zakho
1 - 2
Erbil
ARB
39%
28%
33%
72 71 1 0
12 Mar. 2013
ALA
Al Ansar Beirut
0 - 2
Erbil
ARB
20%
23%
57%
73 55 18 -1
05 Mar. 2013
ARB
Erbil
4 - 0
Al Ahli Ta'izz
ALA
87%
10%
3%
73 42 31 0

Matches

Fanja
Fanja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2013
FNJ
Fanja
0 - 2
Dhofar
DHO
50%
25%
25%
42 42 0 0
17 Mar. 2013
FNJ
Fanja
1 - 0
Oman FC
OMA
50%
25%
26%
42 42 0 0
12 Mar. 2013
ALA
Al Ahli Ta'izz
0 - 2
Fanja
FNJ
39%
26%
36%
45 41 4 -3
05 Mar. 2013
FNJ
Fanja
4 - 0
Al Ansar Beirut
ALA
24%
25%
51%
42 56 14 +3
01 Mar. 2013
SAL
Salalah
2 - 2
Fanja
FNJ
46%
25%
30%
42 40 2 0