Erbil vs Al Naft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 1
DUH
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
ALK
2 - 2
ARB
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ALS
2 - 1
ARB
43%
29%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 0
TAM
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
ARB
2 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Al Naft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2011 |
ALN
1 - 0
ZAK
34%
30%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
RAM
3 - 2
ALN
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALN
0 - 0
KAR
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PES
0 - 1
ALN
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALN
1 - 2
SAM
67%
22%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |