ARB Ghriss vs Mouloudia Oued analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ARB Ghriss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2018 |
MOH
1 - 0
AGH
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
AGH
2 - 0
JSK
3%
9%
89%
|
23 | 71 | 48 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BEL
3 - 0
AGH
88%
10%
2%
|
22 | 69 | 47 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
AGH
0 - 2
ALG
5%
14%
80%
|
22 | 69 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
AGH
1 - 0
FAK
13%
21%
66%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | +6 |