Araz PFK vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
8º
8º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
92.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araz PFK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 0
ARA
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 0
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 3
ZIR
47%
29%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 2
ARA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
1 - 0
FKN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKQ
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 3
SEB
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 4
QAR
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
FCK
2 - 1
FKQ
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
TUR
2 - 1
FKQ
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |