Matogrossense First Stage Round 6

Araguaia AC vs Cáceres EC analysis

Araguaia AC Cáceres EC
42 ELO 10
-1.5% Tilt -3%
30951º General ELO ranking 18195º
898º Country ELO ranking 598º
ELO win probability
79.7%
Araguaia AC
13.3%
Draw
7%
Cáceres EC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
Araguaia AC
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7%
Win probability
Cáceres EC
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Araguaia AC
Cáceres EC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Araguaia AC
Araguaia AC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2009
URO
União Rondonópolis
0 - 0
Araguaia AC
AAC
71%
17%
12%
42 56 14 0
05 Feb. 2009
AAC
Araguaia AC
1 - 3
Barra do Garças FC
BAR
36%
24%
40%
43 49 6 -1
31 Jan. 2009
VIL
Vila Aurora
2 - 1
Araguaia AC
AAC
61%
21%
18%
44 53 9 -1
25 Jan. 2009
AAC
Araguaia AC
2 - 1
Rondonópolis
RON
66%
19%
16%
44 32 12 0
07 Apr. 2008
CEC
Cacerense
2 - 2
Araguaia AC
AAC
59%
22%
19%
43 52 9 +1

Matches

Cáceres EC
Cáceres EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2009
CAC
Cáceres EC
0 - 0
União Rondonópolis
URO
16%
23%
62%
10 56 46 0
05 Feb. 2009
CAC
Cáceres EC
0 - 2
Vila Aurora
VIL
17%
24%
60%
10 53 43 0
01 Feb. 2009
RON
Rondonópolis
3 - 1
Cáceres EC
CAC
81%
13%
7%
10 32 22 0
25 Jan. 2009
CAC
Cáceres EC
2 - 2
Cacerense
CEC
16%
22%
62%
9 51 42 +1