Aragua FC vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
22.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MET
2 - 2
ARA
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
26%
30%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
LAR
30%
30%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 0
COQ
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ARA
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
GVA
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 0
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
POR
2 - 2
ZUL
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |