Aragua FC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
23.5%
67.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
20.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
29%
0-2
17%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
APC
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
EQU
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
GRE
8 - 0
ARA
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
LAR
4 - 1
ARA
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EQU
2 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 2
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
LAN
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GRE
2 - 0
CAX
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
GRE
8 - 0
ARA
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 2
GRE
14%
25%
61%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |