Aragua FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
ANZ
0 - 0
ARA
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
MET
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
YAR
0 - 2
ARA
31%
26%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CFC
3 - 0
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
ARA
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
ZAM
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
MON
3 - 1
EST
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
ULA
1 - 2
EST
19%
21%
61%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
EST
1 - 3
DEP
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |