Aragua FC vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
ZAM
26%
28%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ARA
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
DEP
28%
29%
43%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
ARA
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 0
ARA
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
CFC
27%
29%
45%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 3
ATL
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
MIN
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ESC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 1
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |