Clausura Panama . Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Árabe Unido vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
ARA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ARA
4 - 1
AFC
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 2
CHO
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 1
ARA
34%
30%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 1
SMI
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
ARA
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
COS
1 - 2
IND
30%
27%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |