Apucarana Sport vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apucarana Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
APU
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
APU
1 - 0
FOZ
23%
23%
55%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 1
APU
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
APU
2 - 2
PST
29%
24%
48%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PST
2 - 2
APU
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
NPR
2 - 3
PST
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 0
NPR
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
FOZ
1 - 2
NPR
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NPR
2 - 0
ACP
36%
27%
38%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NPR
3 - 1
PST
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |