Aprilia vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIS
3 - 1
APR
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
APR
2 - 0
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
BUD
1 - 2
APR
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
APR
4 - 2
ALB
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 6
APR
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
OST
1 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
OST
1 - 1
BUD
44%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BUD
4 - 3
OST
44%
25%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
OST
3 - 3
RIE
10%
20%
70%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NUO
3 - 2
OST
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |