Aprilia vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GAE
2 - 2
APR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
APR
2 - 1
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
APR
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
APR
1 - 0
USD
61%
21%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BUD
2 - 2
APR
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FON
3 - 0
STC
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ASM
0 - 1
FON
22%
24%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FON
6 - 0
RIE
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SEL
1 - 0
FON
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 0
FON
37%
25%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |