Aprilia vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
APR
0 - 1
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
APR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
APR
0 - 2
FOL
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 2
APR
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
APR
1 - 0
RAA
71%
17%
11%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
TER
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIG
2 - 1
BOR
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
ASD
49%
26%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
RAA
1 - 2
BOR
29%
26%
45%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 0
MAR
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |