Aprendices Casildenses vs Defensores de Salto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprendices Casildenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ROJ
4 - 0
APR
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
EMI
0 - 1
APR
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
APR
2 - 0
PSM
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
APR
4 - 2
SPO
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SRI
5 - 2
APR
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Defensores de Salto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
DEF
3 - 1
EMI
39%
24%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PSM
3 - 2
DEF
46%
23%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 2
SPO
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 3
SRI
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 2
DEF
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -3 |