APR FC vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
APR
0 - 0
ASK
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
APR
2 - 0
RAY
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HFC
0 - 1
APR
17%
25%
58%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
APR
3 - 2
GFC
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
GIC
1 - 1
APR
14%
26%
60%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
HFC
0 - 1
BUG
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2019 |
BUG
1 - 1
GFC
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
GIC
1 - 2
BUG
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BUG
0 - 0
MUS
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 2
BUG
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |