APOEL vs Ermis Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
DOX
1 - 2
APO
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
APO
3 - 1
ENO
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
APO
0 - 2
ETH
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
PAF
0 - 1
APO
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
APO
3 - 1
APO
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ermis Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
APO
1 - 1
ERM
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
ERM
1 - 2
APO
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2009 |
ANO
1 - 0
ERM
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
APE
3 - 3
ERM
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ERM
1 - 0
ETH
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |