Aparecidense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
APA
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GOI
3 - 1
APA
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
GOI
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
APA
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
APA
0 - 0
VIL
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CEI
0 - 0
SIN
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
CEI
0 - 0
SOB
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SOB
3 - 1
CEI
34%
24%
42%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CEI
1 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
CEI
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |