Annan Athletic vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
3º
10º
3º
45
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BLA
5 - 1
ALB
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 3
BLA
38%
25%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
BLA
40%
24%
35%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 3
ELG
49%
23%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STI
0 - 2
BLA
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 1
ELG
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STE
1 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALB
44%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
FOR
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |