Angouleme vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
ANG
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
LES
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
ANG
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 1
FAB
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
BER
0 - 3
ANG
38%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
AGD
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BLA
1 - 0
AUR
28%
27%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAS
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BAY
0 - 0
AUR
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
AUR
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |