CAF Qualifying Grupo D. Jor. 1

Angola vs Gambia analysis

Angola Gambia
69 ELO 63
-15.3% Tilt -18.9%
944º General ELO ranking 1866º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.4%
Angola
25.6%
Draw
20.1%
Gambia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
Angola
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.1%
Win probability
Gambia
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Angola
+19%
-15%
Gambia

ELO progression

Angola
Gambia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Angola
Angola
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2019
AGO
Angola
2 - 1
Gambia
GMB
53%
26%
21%
69 62 7 0
06 Sep. 2019
GMB
Gambia
0 - 1
Angola
AGO
34%
28%
38%
69 62 7 0
03 Aug. 2019
AGO
Angola
1 - 1
Eswatini
SWZ
69%
21%
11%
69 48 21 0
28 Jul. 2019
SWZ
Eswatini
1 - 1
Angola
AGO
14%
22%
64%
69 48 21 0
02 Jul. 2019
AGO
Angola
0 - 1
Mali
MLI
31%
27%
42%
69 74 5 0

Matches

Gambia
Gambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2019
GMB
Gambia
1 - 1
Yibuti
DJI
70%
19%
12%
62 32 30 0
09 Oct. 2019
DJI
Yibuti
1 - 1
Gambia
GMB
9%
15%
76%
62 31 31 0
10 Sep. 2019
AGO
Angola
2 - 1
Gambia
GMB
53%
26%
21%
62 69 7 0
06 Sep. 2019
GMB
Gambia
0 - 1
Angola
AGO
34%
28%
38%
62 69 7 0
12 Jun. 2019
MAR
Morocco
0 - 1
Gambia
GMB
77%
17%
6%
61 86 25 +1
X