Andino vs Américo Tesorieri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
12.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Andino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
AND
5 - 0
CUM
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
AND
4 - 1
CAL
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
AMT
1 - 1
AND
22%
21%
58%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AND
0 - 2
SMB
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 2
AND
71%
18%
10%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
AMT
36%
23%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
CUM
1 - 1
AMT
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2021 |
AMT
1 - 1
AND
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SMB
3 - 2
AMT
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
AMT
0 - 4
SLO
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |