UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 6-3
Anderlecht vs Sivasspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
SDL
1 - 0
AND
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
AND
1 - 1
SDL
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
GNK
0 - 2
AND
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
AND
3 - 1
KSV
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TUB
1 - 1
AND
13%
22%
64%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
SIV
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SIV
3 - 2
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HAC
1 - 2
SIV
24%
27%
49%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SIV
1 - 2
IST
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GAZ
2 - 1
SIV
34%
29%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |