Cup Winners Cup 1/16

Global 5-3

Anderlecht vs Roda JC analysis

Anderlecht Roda JC
88 ELO 78
1.8% Tilt 4.4%
143º General ELO ranking 952º
Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
77.9%
Anderlecht
15%
Draw
7.2%
Roda JC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
Anderlecht
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.2%
Win probability
Roda JC
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Anderlecht
+1%
+1%
Roda JC

ELO progression

Anderlecht
Roda JC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Anderlecht
Anderlecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 1976
AND
Anderlecht
1 - 1
RFC Liège
LIE
77%
15%
8%
88 73 15 0
30 Aug. 1976
AND
Anderlecht
4 - 1
Bayern München
BYM
54%
20%
26%
87 88 1 +1
17 Aug. 1976
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
Anderlecht
AND
74%
14%
12%
87 89 2 0
16 May. 1976
AND
Anderlecht
2 - 1
KSV Waregem
KSV
74%
16%
10%
87 77 10 0
09 May. 1976
CER
Cercle Brugge
0 - 2
Anderlecht
AND
20%
25%
55%
87 69 18 0

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 1976
FEY
Feyenoord
0 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
83%
11%
6%
77 88 11 0
05 Sep. 1976
RJC
Roda JC
4 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
56%
23%
20%
77 73 4 0
01 Sep. 1976
TEL
SC Telstar
0 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
53%
25%
23%
76 75 1 +1
29 Aug. 1976
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
59%
23%
18%
76 71 5 0
25 Aug. 1976
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
Twente
TWE
28%
28%
44%
76 88 12 0