UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 4-3
Anderlecht vs Halmstads analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
RAA
1 - 3
AND
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2001 |
AND
3 - 0
ANT
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
HAL
2 - 3
AND
31%
25%
43%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
KVC
1 - 4
AND
15%
20%
65%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
SHF
1 - 2
AND
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Halmstads
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
HIF
1 - 0
HAL
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ORG
0 - 2
HAL
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2001 |
HAL
2 - 3
AND
31%
25%
43%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
HAL
2 - 2
AIK
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
HAL
2 - 0
BOH
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |