UEFA Super Cup . Final
Global 5-3
Anderlecht vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 1
AND
74%
14%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
AND
2 - 1
KSV
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CER
0 - 2
AND
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1976 |
AND
4 - 2
WHU
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
AND
1 - 1
RAA
85%
10%
5%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 2
EBT
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
MSV
5 - 2
BYM
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 1
AND
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
BYM
2 - 1
F95
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1976 |
HAN
0 - 10
BYM
15%
20%
66%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |