Ancona vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 1
ANC
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ANC
0 - 0
BEN
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ANC
1 - 0
CUO
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2005 |
SAS
3 - 1
ANC
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ANC
3 - 0
REG
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FOL
1 - 1
SAS
9%
20%
71%
|
35 | 69 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 1
FOL
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
FOL
0 - 1
BEN
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SPA
3 - 1
FOL
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIN
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |