Amur-2010 vs Okean Nakhodka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amur-2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AMU
2 - 2
VLA
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
KUK
1 - 0
AMU
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
SIB
3 - 2
AMU
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
AMU
2 - 0
TYU
28%
27%
45%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
AMU
4 - 2
IRT
35%
29%
36%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Okean Nakhodka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2002 |
OKN
0 - 1
SME
57%
24%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
VLA
1 - 0
OKN
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
OKN
1 - 1
KUK
35%
29%
37%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
OKN
1 - 3
SIB
27%
29%
44%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
TYU
1 - 1
OKN
70%
19%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |