Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 3-4
América vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
AME
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
AME
4 - 1
LEO
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AME
1 - 1
PUM
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 3
AME
51%
24%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PUM
1 - 0
VER
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
40%
26%
33%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AME
1 - 1
PUM
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PUM
2 - 1
QRO
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TIJ
1 - 2
PUM
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |