América SP vs José Bonifácio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FER
2 - 0
AME
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
TUP
1 - 0
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
BAN
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
T10
2 - 1
AME
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AME
0 - 2
PRI
29%
26%
45%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
José Bonifácio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 0
JOS
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
JOS
0 - 2
FER
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
JOS
2 - 3
BAN
32%
23%
46%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
CAT
0 - 0
JOS
40%
23%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CAT
1 - 2
JOS
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |