América SP vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BEB
4 - 1
AME
69%
20%
11%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AME
0 - 5
FER
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CAT
0 - 1
AME
78%
16%
7%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AME
2 - 2
CAT
16%
19%
66%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BEB
4 - 0
AME
72%
19%
9%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
AND
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AME
0 - 5
FER
21%
23%
56%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 4
BEB
47%
27%
27%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAT
5 - 2
FER
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 1
FER
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |