América RN vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARN
4 - 0
ALE
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 0
ARN
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
ARN
5 - 0
ASS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 3
ARN
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ARN
2 - 2
BAR
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABC
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
41%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
POT
2 - 1
SAN
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
COR
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |