América RN vs Palmeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
ARN
3 - 2
GLO
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 4
ARN
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARN
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 2
ARN
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 2
GLO
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
FEL
35%
23%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
ABC
0 - 0
PAL
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 4
GLO
23%
24%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -3 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |