América Mineiro vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1977 |
AMF
3 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
PAY
4 - 1
AMF
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
AMF
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
AMF
1 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
USC
1 - 0
AMF
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
USC
2 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 2
REM
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
AMF
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
BOT
4 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAC
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |