Amarante vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GIN
2 - 2
AMA
6%
13%
82%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AMA
2 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 3
AMA
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AMA
2 - 0
PED
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
3 - 5
AMA
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAN
19%
22%
59%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 0
VIL
29%
21%
49%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 3
LUS
12%
22%
65%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
COI
2 - 1
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
ESP
11%
20%
69%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | -1 |