Amadense vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
AMA
78%
14%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
LAG
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CDC
3 - 1
AMA
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
ITA
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SER
4 - 0
AMA
76%
15%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 2
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
BOC
73%
18%
10%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EST
1 - 0
BOC
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BOC
4 - 3
AME
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
BOC
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |