FC Alverca vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
7º
1º
20
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 25 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 21 |
4º
|
54% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 12 |
6º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 10 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALV
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 0
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
ALV
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 1
ALV
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALV
2 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
LUS
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
FEL
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 1
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |