FC Alverca vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
60%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALV
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ALV
2 - 1
SCP
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALV
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ALV
0 - 0
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
BEL
4 - 2
ALV
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SLB
1 - 1
BOA
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
PAO
1 - 2
SLB
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
GFC
0 - 2
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
DBU
0 - 2
SLB
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |