Alvechurch FC vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
ALV
0 - 2
NUN
43%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 1
ALV
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
STO
0 - 0
ALV
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALV
1 - 2
NEE
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BIG
2 - 1
ALV
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NEE
2 - 1
LEI
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
LEI
1 - 0
KIN
19%
21%
61%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
4 - 4
WOR
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
STI
1 - 0
LEI
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LEI
2 - 3
BAR
14%
20%
66%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | -1 |